Does Microsoft Really Smell The Coffee?

A recent Search Engine Journal item, Is Microsoft Getting More Customer-Centric?, in a sense is discussing, “Does Microsoft smell the coffee?”. Since 1999 when Seth Godin introduced the concept of Permission Marketing, most forward-thinking companies realize that the customer is in control. Unless you’re customer-centric, then you may well be beaten by a competitor who provides more of what the customer is looking for. The SEJ item suggests that Microsoft is better than it was, but relatively there’s not too much progress since the required standard of customer-centric behaviour is so much higher.

Microsoft’s tardiness may be explained by the fact that they don’t really like the notion of customer-centric, if that means the customer is in control. If that’s the coffee they’re smelling, then they don’t want the coffee.

In 2000 when IBM was extolling the virtues of customer-centric, Microsoft was singing a different tune. Steve Balmer laid this out very directly in a speech to the Stanford Graduate School Of Business in February 2000

.. The internet today and the systems and equipment that run it are only a bare beginning of what will be available in the next five or six years.

“It’s very important that we try to be customer centric, but . . . we could go bankrupt if that was the only thing we were doing. We have to be in touch with what technology permits because our customers expect us to let them take advantage of the latest things in technology. ..

By October 21, 2003, that view still seemed to be Microsoft thinking. In a presentation entitled Great Moments at Work, Bill Gates did his best to address the greatest challenge the Redmond, Wash., software giant faces — convincing the 400 million worldwide users to upgrade to the Microsoft Office 2003 System.

Gates said, if anyone ever needs evidence of Microsoft customer-centric approach to software development, all one simply needs to do is point to the evolution of Word, the word processing software that Microsoft first unveiled in the 1980s.

In its eleventh version, Microsoft Office System has been broken out into six editions that lets customers pick and choose from 11 different products, four servers and so-called Solution Accelerators that help them use the software suite in a variety of industry-specific ways.

“So this software tool can do more to improve productivity than any other thing on the planet,” Gates said. “In fact, part of our optimism about the rest of this decade — productivity growth and economic results — comes because we think people are now underestimating these advances.

Those remarks underscore Microsoft’s greatest challenge: Microsoft needs to get the information workers to re-engineer their work processes and get them to think how they can use desktop software to work together.

So to Microsoft, customer-centric means focusing on the customer and persuading them to select from the product alternatives the company has provided. That way of defining customer-centric still is evident at the end of 2005 as described in the SEJ item. One can ask, “Will they ever really smell the coffee?” Or will they continue to serve up something else and call it coffee?

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The Internet Tidal Wave

Bill Gates wrote a paper titled The Internet Tidal Wave in 1995. It’s a concept that’s been used quite extensively since then. In more recent years, a more frequently seen title is The 21st Century Internet Tidal Wave. That’s a presentation made by Vint Cerf in a whole series of places going back at least to the year 2000.

Vint Cerf is the chairperson of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN). That is the non-profit corporation that oversees domain names such as .com and .ca. It’s based in California and Mr. Cerf is in Vancouver this week. He is raising with other ICANN members how those who are not involved with the Internet tidal wave in less developed economies can start to gain the benefits.

Internet tidal wave: perhaps tsunami is better.

He expanded on the Internet Tidal Wave theme in an interview in the Vancouver Sun. As he pointed out there are currently estimated to be one billion users of the Internet. There are also two billion owners of mobile communication devices, which in the past have not been linked to the Internet. More and more of these will become Internet-linked. Other devices will also become linked in such as set-top boxes, household appliances, automobiles and in many cases also participating in GPS (global positioning systems). Tidal wave seems modest as a descriptor of what will be happening. Tsunami probably captures the likely impacts better. Any company should carefully examine its strategy to ensure it can ride this Internet tidal wave.

Vint Cerf is now in a good position to help this wave. He joined Google on September 8th this year. He has the title Chief Internet Evangelist.

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Google shares break $400 mark – the Internet tsunami continues

The Google stock rose to $403.45 in New York trading. An account by Jonathan Thaw of Bloomberg News yesterday puts this into perspective.

Google went public in August 2004 at a share price of $85. This explosive growth in the Google share price is fuelled by soaring growth in online advertising and investors’ expectations that the company will continue to diversify its products beyond Internet search

This puts a total value on Google of $ 119 billion, which is more than Cisco Systems, the world’s largest maker of computer-networking equipment. This also puts it ahead of Coca-Cola and Wells Fargo. Among technology companies only Microsoft, Intel and IBM are bigger.

This might be seen as a company that is just doing the right things as it expands around its core activities. For example this week it started a public test of a service called Google Base that displays online classified ads. However there is a more significant explanation.

The Internet is a world-shaking phenomenon much like a tsunami. It will dramatically transform the way life is conducted. In a sense as it puts phenomenal pressures on some traditional businesses such as the printed news media, it also creates partial vacuums elsewhere that are there to be exploited by the far-sighted. Google is doing just that. For example, it is working on an online payment system to support its multiplicity of business ventures. It is not too outrageous to think of a Google share value of $800 (after correcting for splits I imagine). The only question is how long that will take.

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World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS)

The World Summit on the Information Society second phase takes place in Tunis and is hosted by the Government of Tunisia from 16 to 18 November 2005. This is a United Nations activity with the aim of helping all countries to benefit from the Internet. It’s a most worthy cause.

The following Canadian websites will receive awards at the prestigious Gala at this event:

Google The Advertising Giant

People seem to find it surprising that the Internet is causing some monumental upheavals. There’s an interesting article in the International Herald Tribune on the huge impact that Google is having in the world of advertising. The following are quotes from Mr. Noto of Goldman Sachs:This year, Google will sell $6.1 billion in ads, nearly double what it sold last year,

By next year, Mr. Noto expects Google to have advertising revenue of $9.5 billion. That would place it fourth among American media companies in total ad sales after, the News Corporation and the Walt Disney Company, but ahead of giants including NBC Universal and Time Warner.Equally dramatic changes will come in other parts of the media world as the Internet changes the way we all behave. Hold on to your hats.

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